President William Ruto would lead by a wide margin if elections were held today, a new public opinion poll by Infotrak Research and Consulting firm has revealed.
The survey, conducted between June 22 and June 26, 2026, shows President Ruto leading with 32 percent popularity nationwide, marking an 11 percentage point increase from August 2025 when his rating stood at 21 per cent.
Speaking during the release of the survey, Infotrak Research Director Johvine Wanyingo noted: “President Ruto has a lead, and I would say a commanding lead, compared to the rest; of 32 per cent as the person who Kenyans would vote for as president if elections were held.”
According to the findings, former Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka places second with 13 per cent popularity. Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and former Interior Cabinet Secretary Dr. Fred Matiang’i are tied at third place, polling 12 per cent each.
Notably, Senator Sifuna has registered significant growth, rising from an insignificant 0.2 percent mention in December 2025. Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua follows at four per cent, while Babu Owino commands a paltry three percent support. The poll indicates that 21 per cent of Kenyan voters remain undecided.
The poll shows President Ruto leading in five regions, scoring highest in the North Eastern at 59 percent, followed by Rift Valley at 46 percent and Nyanza at 40 per cent.
The poll also evaluated public perception of the current broad-based government setup, showing high awareness at 79 per cent. Some 33 percent of Kenyans support the arrangement, citing the restoration of peace and political stability (60 per cent combined).
Conversely, 37 per cent oppose the government structure, raising concerns over limited development, poor governance, self-gain by politicians (19 per cent), and rising corruption (16 per cent). Another 27 percent stated they neither support nor oppose the current political formation.
Should President Ruto seek a second term, Professor Kithure Kindiki emerged as the most preferred running mate within the broad-based framework, leading with 34 per cent support nationally.
Mr. Wanyingo highlighted this margin, stating, “Professor Kindiki has a wider margin as the best running mate and gives a gap of almost 20 per cent between the person who comes second; that is Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga.” Wanga ranked second at 11 per cent.
Among residents who polled in Mount Kenya region, 41 per cent favored Professor Kindiki, followed by Kirinyaga Governor Anne Waiguru at 14 per cent.
For the United Opposition, the race for the flagbearer position remains tight between Kalonzo Musyoka and Dr. Fred Matiang’i, who scored 27 per cent and 26 per cent preference respectively among respondents.
Among Gen Z voters (ages 18–26), Senator Sifuna is the most preferred opposition presidential candidate at 27 percent.
The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) remains the most popular political party at 22 per cent, closely followed by the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) at 21 per cent. The newly formed Democratic Alliance Party (DCP) secured third place with nine per cent popularity nationally, establishing a strong presence in Central Kenya at 33 percent.
The nationwide poll surveyed 3,000 adult Kenyans across all regions using a mixed methodology of computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) for respondents aged 28 and above, alongside face-to-face interviews for Gen Z demographics.
The poll was fully self-sponsored by Infotrak and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 1.79 percent with a 99 percent response rate.
By Lilian Gichohi and Ian Maina
